Sentinel

Affects building leaderboard + activity pulse. Other tables are pinned to fiscal year.

The Pulse of Latvian CRE

What the market is telling us right now

Live · updated nightly

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Distress watchlist

See all signals

Companies at highest predicted churn risk. Updated nightly by the tenant churn engine.

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Churn score is a 0–100 composite of revenue trend, tax debt, board cascades, lease window, and other weak signals.

Credit migration watchlist

See all signals

Tenants whose credit standing just changed — downgrades and sustained multi-year decline. The rating-action feed for your leases.

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Downgrade = health score fell ≥2 points or churn-risk tier worsened. Sustained decline = ≥2 consecutive years of falling headcount or revenue (≥20%).

Building movements

last 90 days

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EU grant leads

Private companies that just won EU funding — a fresh grant signals a likely space need within ~12 months.

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Source: CFLA open data (2021–27 + Recovery Fund). Public-sector recipients excluded; ranked by EU co-financing.

Logistics expansion candidates

score ≥ 25 / 100

Warehouse / freight tenants most likely to need more space in 6–12 months. Scored from fleet-growth proxies (fixed assets, employees, revenue YoY) plus recent procurement wins and hiring surges. No CSDD fleet data required.

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Scoring: employees YoY (+25) · revenue YoY (+25) · fixed assets YoY (+20) · procurement wins 90d (+15) · hiring surge 30d (+10) · announced expansion 90d (+5).

Relocation radar — move-risk leads

Companies likely to relocate or give up space, ranked by move-risk score. Recency (newer tenants churn more), distress (tax debt / decline) and expansion intent (hiring / procurement / construction) — backtested against real unit closures. Work them as leads, not certainties.

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Scoring: tenure recency (up to +25) · expansion intent (+25) · distress (+15) · chain penalty for multi-outlet networks. First office = home-registered company outgrowing its space.

Where the tenants are flowing

last 90 days

Top parishes and towns ranked by net tenant movement. Map view follows.

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Corporate Activity Pulse

Last 12 weeks

Live UR filings, board changes, capital changes, and status flips. Sourced from VISS.

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Segment health · YoY

2024 vs 2023

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Hiring hotspots

2024

Top 10 growing companies — Office · 2024

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Distress watchlist

2024

Top 10 shrinking companies — Office · 2024

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Sentinel Data Coverage

What we're listening to in real time

Live · refreshed nightly
market events captured this year across 14+ sources
Data Sources
Uzņēmumu Reģistrs (UR)
company filings, capital, insolvency
VID tax register
VAT / tax-debt / suspended status
VZD cadastre
1.6M buildings, addresses, ownership
BIS
construction permits
EIS
public procurement wins
CV.lv / CV.ee / CV.lt
job postings — hiring surges
Konkurences Padome
merger filings
Zemesgrāmata
property ownership changes
Izsoles
commercial auctions
VVD
environmental permits
Latvian business press
RSS — expansion announcements
Annual reports
filed revenue + employee YoY
Firmas.lv / Lursoft
company metadata enrichment
Rentful CRM
watched-cluster tenant signals

Every signal in the dashboards above originates from one of these feeds. Sentinel normalizes, deduplicates, and scores them — you see the interpretation, not the noise.

Stock by Class × Segment

Parcel count and total area (m²) per building class. Unset = no class assigned yet.
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